Category: Market Outlook

Oil prices shock the world as the economy continues to slow

These events have had a significant impact on global financial markets which have reaction by pricing in a higher probability – but not a certainty – that official interest rates will need to rise further to squash any re-emerging inflation pressures while at the same time, expectations for interest rate cuts have been dramatically scaled back.

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More Interest Rate Hikes As The Economy Slows 

While there remains clear evidence of the economy slowing, Stephen Koukoulas, Zagga’s Economist ‘in residence’, also acknowledges the positive trends currently coming to light: “House prices are… stronger, being in the early stages of a cyclical upturn with a surge in demand for housing coming from sharply higher immigration and supply being constrained by low levels of new dwelling construction.”

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Population Boom Fuels A House Price Rebound

House prices are rising. This has a range of important implications particularly when it comes to the cost effectiveness of new construction and the medium term outlook for the dwelling sector. If what we are seeing on house prices is the early stages of a price uplift, even of moderate proportions, the incentives for builders moves in favour of new construction.

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